Tokyo in 2100 may feel like Shanghai today

Grounded CMIP6/IPCC climate projection for Tokyo, Japan in 2100 (SSP2-4.5, middle path). +2.7°C average warming, +72 cm sea-level rise, habitability 12.8/100 (Severe). Its projected climate is closest to present-day Shanghai, China.

• Average warming by 2100: +2.7°C
• Regional sea-level rise by 2100: +72 cm
• Habitability score: 12.8 / 100 (Severe)
• Closest present-day climate analog: Shanghai, China

Numbers come from a grounded CMIP6/IPCC grid; see the methodology, compare locations, or return to fupit.