Lagos in 2100 may feel like Bangkok today

Grounded CMIP6/IPCC climate projection for Lagos, Nigeria in 2100 (SSP2-4.5, middle path). +2.4°C average warming, +59 cm sea-level rise, habitability 2.1/100 (Severe). Its projected climate is closest to present-day Bangkok, Thailand.

• Average warming by 2100: +2.4°C
• Regional sea-level rise by 2100: +59 cm
• Habitability score: 2.1 / 100 (Severe)
• Closest present-day climate analog: Bangkok, Thailand

Numbers come from a grounded CMIP6/IPCC grid; see the methodology, compare locations, or return to fupit.