Cape Town in 2100 may feel like Mexico City today

Grounded CMIP6/IPCC climate projection for Cape Town, South Africa in 2100 (SSP2-4.5, middle path). +1.8°C average warming, +59 cm sea-level rise, habitability 55.5/100 (Fair). Its projected climate is closest to present-day Mexico City, Mexico.

• Average warming by 2100: +1.8°C
• Regional sea-level rise by 2100: +59 cm
• Habitability score: 55.5 / 100 (Fair)
• Closest present-day climate analog: Mexico City, Mexico

Numbers come from a grounded CMIP6/IPCC grid; see the methodology, compare locations, or return to fupit.